Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen...

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Taco
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Re: Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen...

Post by Taco »

I know no one really cares about Deutsche Bank but after you lose most of your assets you probably will.

The Financial System Is On The Cusp Of Collapse
http://investmentresearchdynamics.com/t ... -collapse/

I’m in Awe of How Fast Deutsche Bank is Falling Apart
http://wolfstreet.com/2016/09/29/deutsc ... t-planned/
Paranoia is just having the right information. - William S. Burroughs


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The_Adventurer
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Re: Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen...

Post by The_Adventurer »

No, Taco, they still won't care. They'll blame Obama or something.
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Taco
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Re: Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen...

Post by Taco »

Another potential catalyst for a market crash this year is Italy's referendum on December 4th to exit the Euro zone which could crash the Euro.

Judgement Day: Italian Referendum December 4
http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/714 ... pean-Union

Italian Referendum Could Crash Euro
http://www.forbes.com/sites/johnmauldin ... 636fe311da

The Coming Collapse Of The World's Biggest Economy - The European Union
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-0 ... st-economy

And in other news...

Bank of America Says We're Experiencing 'Peak' Everything and a Major Market Change Is Coming
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/ ... -is-coming
Paranoia is just having the right information. - William S. Burroughs
Taco
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Re: Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen...

Post by Taco »

This just in...

Red Alert: Prepare For Severe Stock Market Crash, Warns HSBC
https://www.rt.com/business/362618-stoc ... vere-fall/
Paranoia is just having the right information. - William S. Burroughs
Devil Dog
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Re: Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen...

Post by Devil Dog »

This just in: Taco rumored to be working on the WHY THE CRASH OF 2017 WILL HAPPEN thread.
Taco
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Re: Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen...

Post by Taco »

For anyone who wants to make money in the markets, you need to understand one thing. Bonds are the “smart money.” Because of this, bond markets are the FIRST to adjust to new realities. Well, right now, bonds are selling off… HARD. Stocks are on borrowed time. Smart investors are already preparing for this. Bonds are signaling a real problem is underway. Another Crisis is brewing… the time to prepare is now.

Image

And in other news...

FELDER: The probability of a market crash is 'as high as it's ever been'
http://www.businessinsider.com/felder-t ... en-2016-10
Paranoia is just having the right information. - William S. Burroughs
Tsar
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Re: Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen...

Post by Tsar »

Taco wrote:For anyone who wants to make money in the markets, you need to understand one thing. Bonds are the “smart money.” Because of this, bond markets are the FIRST to adjust to new realities. Well, right now, bonds are selling off… HARD. Stocks are on borrowed time. Smart investors are already preparing for this. Bonds are signaling a real problem is underway. Another Crisis is brewing… the time to prepare is now.

Image

And in other news...

FELDER: The probability of a market crash is 'as high as it's ever been'
http://www.businessinsider.com/felder-t ... en-2016-10
What should I do? I have a lot of cash I need to do something with at least for 1-6 months. I have been holding off on buying any gold or silver. I expect the collapse to come. Last collapse and crisis and quantitative easing cycle in America gold and silver skyrocketed. Should I buy gold or silver? Or buy more gold than silver?

The dollar is also worth more than it should be which won't last long. There's only so much they can now do before the dollar and everything collapses. Mathematically, it is a 100% certainty the dollar and the American economy will collapse, and it will collapse the world economy and at least a half dozen other currencies along with it.
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Taco
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Re: Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen...

Post by Taco »

Tsar wrote:
Taco wrote:For anyone who wants to make money in the markets, you need to understand one thing. Bonds are the “smart money.” Because of this, bond markets are the FIRST to adjust to new realities. Well, right now, bonds are selling off… HARD. Stocks are on borrowed time. Smart investors are already preparing for this. Bonds are signaling a real problem is underway. Another Crisis is brewing… the time to prepare is now.

Image

And in other news...

FELDER: The probability of a market crash is 'as high as it's ever been'
http://www.businessinsider.com/felder-t ... en-2016-10
What should I do? I have a lot of cash I need to do something with at least for 1-6 months. I have been holding off on buying any gold or silver. I expect the collapse to come. Last collapse and crisis and quantitative easing cycle in America gold and silver skyrocketed. Should I buy gold or silver? Or buy more gold than silver?

The dollar is also worth more than it should be which won't last long. There's only so much they can now do before the dollar and everything collapses. Mathematically, it is a 100% certainty the dollar and the American economy will collapse, and it will collapse the world economy and at least a half dozen other currencies along with it.
I don't give out investment advice. However, its a good idea to have stacks of cash and metals in your possession. No one knows the exact timing of the next crash. There are no shortage of pessimists. Gold is one of them.

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Next 90 Days: A Depression, A War, An Assassination, Martial Law?
https://vidrebel.wordpress.com/2016/10/ ... rtial-law/

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Taco
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Re: Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen...

Post by Taco »

Keep an eye on the US bond market.

The top ranked ETF by assets in the junk bond market, set a new record on Thursday - almost eclipsing the $1 billion mark. IShares’ high-grade corporate bond ETF (LQD) also shed $785 million in assets. That brings net outflows over the past week for HYG and LQD to $1.4 billion and $1 billion, respectively.

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Rate Hike Fear Pushes High-Yield Bond ETF Over a Cliff
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/ ... er-a-cliff

And in other news...

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Paranoia is just having the right information. - William S. Burroughs
Taco
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Re: Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen...

Post by Taco »

Goldman Sachs came out with a report not too long ago that showed that holders of US Treasuries would lose over $1 trillion should the Fed raise rates by just one percentage point. That’s equivalent to 1/18th of our annual GDP that would be wiped off the face of this earth in the event the Fed raises interest rates by a measly 1%. Oh, and that’s just here in the US where we still enjoy nominally positive real rates, unlike our counterparts over in Europe and Japan, who are sitting well below zero. There, a 1% rise in rates would wreak financial havoc.

Sell Everything Now
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-11-0 ... san-warfar

The Markets Just Gave Us THREE Major "Tells"...
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-31/

The Fed has everything it needs to raise rates in December
http://www.businessinsider.com/federal- ... er-2016-11

Here's the ominous warning on the November 2016 Time magazine cover...

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Paranoia is just having the right information. - William S. Burroughs
Taco
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Re: Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen...

Post by Taco »

This just in...

S&P 500's 9-day Losing Streak Longest Since December 1980
http://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/2016 ... r-180.html

This sort of deal making where billions simply don’t matter is eerily reminiscent of the last-minute frenzies in 1999-2000 and 2007, before it all came unglued.

Merger-Mania-October
http://wolfstreet.com/2016/11/01/merger ... s-unglued/

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Paranoia is just having the right information. - William S. Burroughs
Taco
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Re: Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen...

Post by Taco »

Massive bond market sell off with Trump victory. It might not be over yet. Click on the 1 month and 1 year charts.

US 10 Year Yield
https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/USGG10YR:IND

China dumping US treasuries hits record low.

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Copper prices exploded higher.

1 Year Copper Chart
http://www.nasdaq.com/markets/copper.aspx?timeframe=1y
Paranoia is just having the right information. - William S. Burroughs
Taco
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Re: Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen...

Post by Taco »

2016 is almost over and "The Crash Of 2016" has not yet arrived. However, you can expect extreme volatility in the global markets in December. Here's two dates to keep in mind.

1. December 4, 2016 - Italian Referendum to change its constitution

Italian Referendum
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/11/italian- ... -warn.html

2. December 14, 2016 - Federal Reserve to hike rates

Fed To Proceed With December U.S. Rate Rise
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-f ... SKBN134329

You'll recall what happened the last time the Fed raised rates in 2015. The Shanghai Composite crashed and would have been worse had the government not stepped in to save it.

China Contagion Has Wiped $2.5 Trillion Off Stocks In 6 Days
http://business.financialpost.com/inves ... =3e83-61cb
Paranoia is just having the right information. - William S. Burroughs
Taco
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Re: Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen...

Post by Taco »

The 2008 Crash was caused by the unregulated derivatives markets. And if you think that problem has been fixed, you’re mistaken.

The technical event that will cause another bond market/stock market crash has not yet occurred. That will happen when the interest rate (yield) on the US ten year treasury bonds hits 3.5%. There are $500 trillion in interest rate derivatives held by banks around the world.

The yield is currently at 2.35%. You can check it daily by clicking on the link below.

US 10 Year Yield
https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/USGG10YR:IND

Beyond 3.5%, The 'Rotation' Becomes Disorderly
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-08-1 ... disorderly

'Severe' Danger Looming in Corporate Bonds
http://www.cnbc.com/id/100435607

Jim Sinclair Mailbox
http://www.jsmineset.com/2016/11/23/jims-mailbox-1856/
Last edited by Taco on November 27th, 2016, 1:24 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Paranoia is just having the right information. - William S. Burroughs
MrMan
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Re: Why The Crash of 2016 Will Happen...

Post by MrMan »

Can you change the title to say '2017' instead of '2016' if it doesn't happen in a little over a month?
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